Monday, August 20, 2012

It's Been ___ Many Games Since Our Last Accident

On Saturday, the Houston Astros fired their manager Brad Mills along with a couple of Houston coaches.  It wasn't a big shock.  In two and a half seasons, the Astros have posted a winning percentage of .384 (171-274) under Mills.  Certainly the blame doesn't fall to Mills, at least not solely.  Ownership in Houston hasn't exactly spent big bucks since the Astros brief run of success in the middle of the last decade.  This year, they sport a team whose stars are Jose Altuve, Jed Lowrie, and a very washed up Carlos Lee.  The couple of names they had on their pitching staff, Wandy Rodriguez and Brett Myers were both traded away.  Oddly, despite being the worst team in baseball by record, they are not ranking last in as many important hitting and pitching categories as you might expected.  Nevertheless, Mills was fired after his team secured yet another losing record by recording their 82nd loss...on August 18th.

New interim manager Tony DeFrancesco was "called up" from his managerial job in Triple-A, and ownership and fans will likely be hoping he can make something better, if only slightly, than what Mills had done.  However, I think a successful campaign is far-fetched as best, and Mills is simply the latest of scapegoats created by an organization without much of a payroll or farm system.

In an attempt to show the short life span of current Major League Baseball managers, here is a look at the number of games each of the current 30 active managers have with their current team.  DeFranceso is the far left with one game (lost 8-1 to Arizona by the way), and Mike Scoiscia leads the way on the far right with 2065 games for the Los Angeles Angels of Anahiem.  It is worth nothing that only five current managers have more than 1,000 games with their current franchise, that's equivalent to just over six seasons.

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2 comments:

  1. After looking at that bar graph, my first thought was how much longer Ron Gardenhire has with the Twins?

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  2. To be honest, I have no idea. I know lots of fans get on his case, but when you consider his history in Minnesota it's tough. It was November 2001 when MLB was strongly considering the contraction of the Expos and Twins (and possibly the Angels and Marlins). Gardenhire took over in 2002, and lead them to the ALCS where they lost to the nearly contracted Angels. 2001 (Tom Kelly's last year), the Twins had their first winning record since 1992, largely because of Radke, Milton, and Mays. Gardenhire took that and brought them to the playoffs four of his first five seasons. Prior to last season, they never finished worse than third, and only had one losing record (2007). The bounced back with two more division titles in 2009-10.

    I think the lack of success the past two years is more bad luck and poor investing than anything else. If anything, it is proof as to why you never invest $20+ million in a catcher. I know the Twins wanted to keep their hometown talent in the state, and they expected a Hall of Famer following his 2009 breakout season, but that was just an insanely short-sighted move in my opinion. Morneau was just bad luck with the concussion from 2010(?).

    As for Gardenhire, it just seems like he found ways for his team to win for so many years when they spent nothing. Despite losing talent like Torii Hunter and Johan Santana, they always found value in other players like Shannon Stewart, Lew Ford, Corey Koskie, etc. Gardenhire was the only true constant during those years. Now, a couple of highly paid, oft-injured players are becoming too constant in the Twin Cities.

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